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Hurricane Adrian still not expected to be a threat to Cayman Islands


Hurricane Adrian 3-day forecast track. NOAA image


NOAA visible image of Hurricane Adrian approaching
the Central American coast

Friday, May 20, 2005

GEORGE TOWN, Cayman Islands: Despite Adrian having intensified to hurricane force as it approaches El Salvador, forecasts still hold that the system will emerge into the northwest Caribbean on Saturday morning as no more than a tropical depression. 

This means that the Cayman Islands can expect rainfall and some gusty winds during the day on Saturday. the Cayman Islands Meteorological Service forecasts between one and three inches of rain from the system and possibly winds of no more than 30 miles per hour. 

The Cayman Islands National Hurricane Committee has been keeping a close watch on the storm and was briefed by Chief Meteorological Officer John Tibbetts at a meeting on Thursday afternoon.

Mr. Tibbetts explained that a number of factors make it unlikely that Adrian will be a major threat to Cayman. These include the fact that storm systems tend to weaken as they pass over land. The mountainous terrain of El Salvador and Honduras will make it even more probable for Adrian to loose steam. Another factor is that the waters in the northwest Caribbean are not warm enough at present to give the system the energy it would need to intensify significantly. 

Cayman can expect to experience unsettled weather on Friday. However this is from another system unrelated to Adrian.

At 5 pm EDT Thursday, Hurricane Adrian was located near 12.9 north and 90.3 west, or about 90 miles southwest of San Salvador, El Salvador. The system is moving toward the northeast near 9 miles per hour with maximum sustained winds of near 85 mph.

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